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Yeah, I didn't mean to imply that's what your analysis was saying, more my own comment about it. People using "The Roman empire fell because of X" sort of arguments are usually white nationalists trying to blame the wokes or wamen or something (and claim that if their personal bugbear isn't dealt with it will cause the collapse of "the west" as well).
And this talk of Israel's "deterrent" also brings to mind their "invincibility" of their Iron Dome and things like that. It isn't enough for them to be stronger, they have to be invincible for their own narrative to work. And of course, as you say, they only have to lose once and it's all Joever. We'll see if that starts now, or within the next few years, but it does seem like they've arrived at the beginning of the end at this point. They can't do anything to prevent their decline.