GenZedong

As much as I would like to think so, I don't think they will. Their current model seems to be working well for them, so they probably won't shift to a more "aggressive" foreign policy like that. It would be self-sacrifice for the rest of world's benefit, but not to their own people's. Though they may be forced into this due simply to the capitalist world not tolerating a powerful socialist presence. Right now they can make alliances and agreements with lesser capitalist powers, but once the west is no longer dominant, other capitalist powers will strive to take their place.

The big question will be "will China ever truly be fully socialist?" as I agree, a higher stage of socialism necessitates they help global socialism, but right now, almost 30 year away from that lofty 2050 goal, it is a bit too soon to say I think. Again, my answer is a "I sure hope so, but don't know." Which I guess isn't too helpful.

China is exporting the most important kind of revolution, one welcomed by the vast majority of any society regardless of ideology- it's exporting the revolution of human development, in infrastructure projects, in non-exploitative loans, in the industrial development of countries that have had the means of it withheld and suppressed by western capital, in education, in hospitals and healthcare and vaccines, in roads, ports, rail, telecom infrastructure, etc...

For revolutions which aim to change the socioeconomic structure of a society- it's best left for the locals to figure out; IMO if China tried to export that sort of revolution, especially in the current circumstances, it would only lead to disaster- to a fragmenting of the global southern, non-western world. Foreign exploitation can be countered by providing a far superior, non-exploitative alternative; indigenous problems require indigenous solutions.

Quoting Stalin himself, from his interview with roy howard: "You see, we Marxists believe that a revolution will also take place in other countries. But it will take place only when the revolutionaries in those countries think it possible, or necessary. The export of revolution is nonsense. Every country will make its own revolution if it wants to, and if it does not want to, there will be no revolution. For example, our country wanted to make a revolution and made it, and now we are building a new, classless society."

There would still be an USSR if trotskysts didn't take over after Stalin and bite more than they could chew with their foreign policy, it is clear to me that the CPC has understood this so far. Providing support through trade relations is enough.

Do you believe, then, that China would adopt foreign policy similar to the Soviet Union? And could even create an international version of the Warsaw Pact, that is an economic and military alliance between socialist states?

No, that won't happen. China has a strict policy of non-interventionism and non-alliance. China has consistently condemned the formation of small, exclusive blocs, like the G7, and the advent of a new Cold War. What you can expect is China strengthening relations with the Global Majority by providing assistance in the development of their own productive forces, rather than simply existing as raw material exporters; for example, China committed itself to enhancing long-term China-Africa relations at the recent BRICS summit meeting, and also pledged support to Cuba's national sovereignty and for the embargo to end. That is internationalism of the 21st century.

Additional insight: https://www.reddit.com/r/TheDeprogram/comments/11b4qea/why_doesnt_china_fund_revolutions_in_the_global/

For this shift to happen and China not get weakened because of it, 2 conditions need to be met:

1. the retraction of capitalist power projection around the world. Primarily, the ability of imperialist powers to impose their will around the globe through economic warfare, covert actions and military threats needs to be limited. Ideally the imperialist powers don't need to only be weaker, but they also need to be pitted against each other, so their power structures (like NATO) are ineffective enough to not be a threat. The effects of the Ukraine war and the disastrous handling of COVID by the West might have seemingly already achieved this to an extend, but there's a long way to go.

2. strengthening the economies of any potential allies to the extend where they can create a front that is powerful enough to withstand or deter capitalist intervention, while not being dependant solely on Chinese economic, industrial and military power. Remember that one reason for the downfall of the USSR was that it diverted so much of its resources into developing its military capabilities, since nobody else in the Soviet bloc or its allies could contribute significantly against the Cold War. This is a pitfall that China is trying hard to avoid with its non-interventionism, as they have stated repeatedly.

Therefore, it very much depends on the state of the world by then. My personal opinion is that China are already laying the groundwork for these 2 conditions to be met with their initiative to economically boost the global south with their road-and-belt initiative and BRICS. Giving third-world nations an alternative to engaging with the US-led capitalist economy, and taking away raw resources from the imperialist machine is key to this.

Depends on what you mean by 'after the Socialist Transition.'

I don't think they will become actively interventionist, because history has shown external intervention rarely does more good than harm and never results in lasting change.

Regarding how much they support and encourage other countries to change, I think their decision-making there is based more on the dynamics between states than on China's internal condition. We can already see nations moving left and opposing imperialism as US power declines and a multipolar world arises, and China is facilitating those conditions.

I think I might be wrong, but to disagree with others here I think we are already seeing that happening. They are already slowly pivoting towards more assertive behavior, sort of doing what they can get away with without incurring a full hot war from the Beast. Something like BRICS or the B&RI might be very different than sending weapons and tanks, but to me this is done knowing damn well that they are helping countries develop who will naturally turn towards socialism or, at the very least, anti imperialism, over time. I think they do a lot less than the Soviets and even capitalist Russia, but what they do do is very subtle and savvy and long-game focused.

Will they ever cross the line and ship weapons and tanks? Hard to say, but I could see both increasing Western hostilities forcing them to make that choice, or decreasing Western capabilities making that choice less risky.

Eventually, they will have to, it will be a necessity, socialism and capitalism are the anti-thesis of each other, there cannot be peaceful cooperation between opposites. Of course, there may be mutual agreements, but they're usually short-term. History has shown time and time again that the capitalists will do everything, every time, everywhere to hurt socialists and socialist countries.

When the USSR was at civil war, what the biggest capitalist powers did? They tried to suppress it invading them. China is in the sweet spot where they can enjoy relative safety from western powers due to the economic dependence the west has on China, but that won't remain forever.

You cannot trust the ruling classes of third world countries too, as they have shown to be extremely reactionary everywhere. In the case of my country, Brazil, the ruling class is mostly owners of farmland, one of the worst kind. They cannot be trusted. China will eventually have to gain trustful allies, in this case, socialist countries, they have to help the proletariat of the world eventually.

I don't know but I will say: 习近平，我的人民渴望自由。请发送东风导弹

The West won't weaken enough in the next hundred years for it to be beneficial to China to take an interventionist role in the world. The decline of the West is more the decline of western living standards rather than economic power. It's more likely an organic revolution will occur in some western states between 2050-2100, the Chinese don't need to risk damaging relations for this to happen.