this post was submitted on 15 Oct 2024
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North Korea blew up the northern parts of inter-Korean roads, amid rising tensions over the North's claim that South Korea flew drones over its capital.

South Korea's military said it fired warning shots near its heavily fortified border on Tuesday after North Korean forces reportedly destroyed roads along the border.

It comes days after the North vowed to permanently seal off its southern border.

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[–] [email protected] 37 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Interestingly, I think this indicates the outbreak of real hostilities is slightly less likely. The existence of roads in/around the DMZ would be to the benefit of the party launching an offensive. The fewer roads there are, the harder it becomes to effectively deploy troops south of the line.

Blowing up transportation links is a defender's trick. The attacker seeks to preserve them to aid in further troop movement and supply. Unless the plan is to launch a limited attack and then sit back in a defensive posture. I don't see how a war of attrition benefits the North though, with their much smaller population and economy.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Maybe they're sending everything to Ukraine and just want to make sure the South doesn't get any idea

/jk

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 month ago

I'm not even sure if that is a joke. If they've sold a lot to Russia and are paranoid about the south exploiting their relative weakness, removing road links would make sense.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

South Korea doesn't want to invade. The costs of rehabilitating the North Korean people would be crippling.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

I unironically think that that’s NK’s logic here, despite the fact that there’s an approximately 0% chance SK would EVER launch an unprovoked invasion of the north.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 month ago

NK is probably doing this because they don't have any big rockets to shoot into the ocean right now. Anything for attention.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago

Really good thoughts. And pontoon bridges or other temporary structures have their limitations.

With that said, I don't really see S. Korea wanting to invade N. Korea. Short of a radical change in leadership.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 1 month ago (1 children)

There have been reports that North Korean troops are now in Ukraine.

Could this indicate that North Korea is switching to a defensive posture along the Korean DMZ if they are deploying troops to Ukraine?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

North Korean troops are in Ukraine to gain valuable experience in modern combat, and bring it back to the DPRK. As well as to serve as technical advisors and in theater support personnel for North Korean systems being deployed by Russia.

They aren't there as a reserve source of cannon fodder, or secondary invasion force. Some have already died, and more will, but they're not there and enough numbers to seriously weaken their domestic security concerns, and that's not their purpose.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 month ago

I know what will stop those drones.... blowing up the roads, of course that's the only way the drones can get to the capital.....

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The photo the DPRK released showed a fairly small drone with a triangular shape. It doesn’t look sufficiently large to fly all the way from the ROK to Pyongyang, drop some leaflets and return to the south, meaning they should have been able to recover the crashed drone. Also, if it were a civilian group, they usually take credit for the balloons they send and none have said anything about sending a drone to the north. It really seems like something might be going on internally and the DPRK is trying to blame whatever is happening on outside agitation.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

This time civilian groups might be laying low as they might have broken the law regarding flying things around the DMZ

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)

They also sent garbage to SK to no repsonse and no purpose.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

The garbage was in response to leaflets being sent north by SK. But it was both a non-proportional and just gross response.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

Is this what they meant that North-Korea is entering the war? Will the Axis of Dictatorship go all out?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Is North Korea shitting their pants that their military doctrine (I assume based on Russia's) is fucked?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

Russia is not following their own military doctrine - or at least not what we know of it (which comes from Soviet doctrine) where Russia (and Ukraine) follow their known doctrine they get better results long term (but short term what they are doing gets faster results but it isn't sustainable)