Further, suppose that the disastrous June 27 debate with Trump had not taken place, or that Biden had been firing on all cylinders that night.
God
this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2024
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He was firing on all his (remaining) cylinders.
Kamala was (relatively) more popular when she was performatively distancing herself from Biden. Now that sheβs changed tack and moved in lockstep with Biden and his brand of centrist fascism, sheβs become unpopular.
The author of this article thinks the only reason Biden wasnβt viable was because of that debate performance. This ignores the fact that Biden was already even less popular than Trump was at this point in his presidency, and well below where LBJ was when he figured he was too unpopular to win reelection and dropped out.
I donβt think there was any way to recover after his campaign went all-in on Bidenomics. They thought they could win by gaslighting the entire country? Did Veep even get this clownshow?
Are they afraid of the polls? Apparently kamala is falling behind trump
yeah she's way behind now https://polymarket.com/elections
Those are betting markets tho, how much more reliable are they than traditional polls that show it's still neck at neck?
I think the betting markets are far more reliable than the traditional polls. I mean traditional polls predicted this back in 2016 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Betting markets were even further off back then. I think the best takeaway here is that no one knows wtf is gonna happen but either way the working class will get screwed
I think there are trends we can observe to make an educated guess as to which way things will go. First thing to note is that the public is highly polarized at this point. The dems and repubs effectively have a different narrative of what the US should be. These are fundamentally incompatible with each other, and people subscribe to one or the other. That means there aren't really any swing voters who will vote based on the specific issues or promises parties make this election. And in fact, we saw this to be the case in the past two elections already, the vote is split fairly evenly, but it's pretty stable.
Really what it comes down to is which party will be able to mobilize its base more effectively to actually go out and vote for them. The dems managed to alienate a lot of people with doing genocide in Gaza, and a lot of the momentum they had in the last election has now fizzled. Most people are seeing their standard of living collapsing, and dems keep gaslighting them that the economy is doing great. I suspect there's little support outside rich liberal circles at this point.
At the end of the day, I completely agree that the working class will get screwed since both parties ultimately represent the oligarchs.
Joe's brain is pudding and he's still preferable to the condescending, cackling cop.
Quick, pivot back! Have everyone vote for Biden again, it will work this time!
Maximum cope