this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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Image is from this SCMP article.

Much of the analysis below is sourced from Michael Roberts' great website.


Japan's ruling parliamentary coalition, consisting of the LDP (purple) and it's junior coalition partner Komeito (in light pink) have lost their ruling majority. They have ruled post-war Japan for almost its entire history. The LDP is currently led by Shigeru Ishiba after Kishida stood down due to a corruption scandal, and ties to the Unification Church.

While geopolitical factors (over the cold war between the US and China, etc) may have played a role, by far the biggest reason for this result in the poor economic conditions over the past few years. Inflation has risen and real wages have fallen, with little relief for the working class via things like tax reductions. While inequality in Japan is not as extreme as in America, it is still profound, with the top 10% possessing 60% of the wealth, while the bottom 50% possess just 5%.

Shinzo Abe previously tried to boost economic performance through monetary easing and fiscal deficits, while Kishida ran on a "new capitalism" which rejected Abe's neoliberalism and promised to reduce inequality. Nothing substantial has resulted from all this, however, other than increasing corporate wealth. Innovation continues to fall, and domestic profitability is low, resulting in decreasing investment at home by Japanese corporations. Labour productivity growth has only slightly picked up since the mid-2000s and is falling again. The rate of profit has fallen by half since the 1960s, and Japan has been in a manufacturing recession - or very close to it - since late 2022. In essence: there is no choice but between stagnation or decline.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 53 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Question, how different would the world situation be if the USSR didn't demand that the security council has to have veto powers? I feel like either they would be outvoted and invaded back then, or if they survived then the world would be very different today without so many vassalized states.

[–] [email protected] 48 points 3 days ago (2 children)

Probably the UN just wouldn’t exist. The first time a major power wanted to do something the general assembly didn’t want, the major power would have done it anyway and the UN ceases.

The veto power is a recognition of reality. Actually you cannot stop a great power from doing what it wants except via a great war with another great power. If this fact of reality is acknowledged and made part of the process, then at least the General Assembly can voice their objections and deny legitimacy via protest without destroying the entire edifice.

The mistake was really to have no mechanism to remove someone from the security council. The fact that India and Brazil aren’t there while the UK and France both get seats is silly, and including France as one of the “victors of WW2” is also silly.

[–] [email protected] 42 points 3 days ago (3 children)

and including France as one of the “victors of WW2” is also silly.

"Here's your reward for a significant majority of your country happily going along with the Nazis."

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[–] [email protected] 57 points 3 days ago (1 children)

ukkkraine delegation in South Africa was acting like a petulant child because of the RussiaToday microphone on the SAFM Roland Lamola's table and demanded it be removed. When refused, they covered the microphone with a book titled Crimea is Ours, which was also then subsequently removed and ukkkraine got scolded like a child.

Why exactly is ukkkraine in South Africa? No idea, but whatever ig

Death to AmeriKKKa

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[–] [email protected] 39 points 3 days ago

Road blockade in Virú on the Panamericana Norte, connecting Trujillo to Lima. Peruvians are protesting a wave of crime and insecurity that the U.S. backed right wing coup regime does nothing to curb.

Peruvian National Police (PNP) firing live shots to disperse protesters in Valle de Dios, Chao in the North of Perú. Will the US backed coup regime once again commit another massacre at the hands of SOUTHCOM trained armed forces?

Illegally ousted and detained President of Perú Pedro Castillo sending his solidarity to one of his biggest supporters since the US backed coup, Evo Morales.

[–] [email protected] 88 points 3 days ago (11 children)

New Slammerslammer

contextBrazilian president @LulaOficial , who has been saying all year that the Israelis are committing genocide, is asked in part:

“Do you think maybe it's time to ask for a global weapons embargo to Israel?”

He gives a relatively long answer talking about strengthening the UN, the Oct 7 death toll, how Hamas should “free the hostages,” and even “greenhouse gas emissions.”

Nowhere to be found: a direct answer to the actual question about a weapons embargo.

From a press conference at the UN on Sept 25, 2024:

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[–] [email protected] 48 points 3 days ago (2 children)

still support islamo communism???

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