this post was submitted on 02 Nov 2024
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chapotraphouse

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Is it my imagination or is that number extremely low?

I predicted to the lib I work with that voter turnout this election would be far lower than last time and he was adamant that it would be high; it should be a lot higher if it's going to meet the numbers from four years ago, shouldn't it?

I expected it to be low but I didn't think it would be this bad; if this number doesn't spike it's going to be worse than 2016.

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[–] [email protected] 30 points 1 week ago (2 children)

wait is there a voteball game on right now?

Death to America

[–] [email protected] 19 points 1 week ago (1 children)

voteball

This needs to be a thing yesterday

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago

i stole it from matt christman's first vlog after the 2020 election, entitled "oh, did a voteball happen?" which is the greatest post of all time

Death to America

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 week ago
[–] [email protected] 22 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (3 children)

Edit

Fucking google fucking SEO garbage articles. I googled yet more and I finally found something useful.

Early voting map: How to make sense of 2024 presidential election data

Oct. 31, 2024

[–] [email protected] 22 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

That chart compares the number of 2024 early voters to the total number of voters in past years, not early voters in past years. That article includes another chart which shows a comparison with 2020 early voting:

Early vote totals since 2012

So Dems are definitely in a worse place than 2020, but maybe they're not doing worse than in 2016

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Are Dems presumed to be the ones doing most of the early voting?

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Its actually a fairly even split last time I looked.

Although all they know is the registration of the early voters.

I think I'm still registered Dem from the 2016 primaries but voted for Claudia, and I imagine a non-insignificant number of Reps are voting for Kamala and the unregistered might? lean Trump

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 week ago

They're saying early voting is pretty high this year (>50% of registered voters in NC and GA!). I would guess we're going to be around 2016 numbers.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Um....if I'm understanding this chart right, this means the last time the numbers were this low was 2014?

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Unless I'm making a mistake - the blue bars are the key thing: "by mail or before election day". 2014 was 31.1.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 week ago

The bars are shares, though. Assuming @[email protected]'s number of 154 million, 71 million is 46% of 2020's numbers

But 2020 was also unusually high-turnout and I'm assuming more people will vote in person this time around due to ending the covid restrictions, so I'm assuming the final proportion will be higher.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Ah, okay, I misunderstood the chart (like....grossly misunderstood the chart)

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 week ago

I don't particularly like the infographic I shared but I got very tired of googling due to google itself and SEO articles that go on and on but there are no infographics. I don't want to read about numbers. I never do. Show it to me as infographics that's what they're for.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 week ago

I was wrong and you were right. I edited the comment.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 week ago (1 children)

this will probably be the last one I bother with

fuck this shit

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 week ago (2 children)

They say this will be the last election in America if Trump wins.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 1 week ago (1 children)

the machine will continue operating whether or not the rituals are performed

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 week ago

No! The ritual must be performed, or else George Washington will return and eat up the holy constitution with his ~~teeth stolen from slaves~~ wooden teeth!

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 week ago

we can only hope to be so lucky

[–] [email protected] 19 points 1 week ago

2020 was the first time early voting was so common I think. I'd be surprised if 2024 surpasses 2020's total just because of that.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 1 week ago

what is there to vote for?

how will anyone's material conditions change based on the winner?

[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Most Americans don’t give a shit tbh

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Anecdotally previous non voters I know voted this year

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 week ago (1 children)

If they didn't vote in 2020 then why now?

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Maybe the anti-Trump propaganda got to them. They’re going especially hard this year.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 week ago

This is it mostly

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago

Wasn't 2020 154 million voters? Biden alone got 80 million. I wonder what the final numbers will be

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 week ago

Still way too many

Non-voters stay winning though

packwatch