DPP will probably win. They are like American Democrats. Progressive and neoliberal with an aggressive foreign policy. KMT is the opposition and they are like the American Republicans. Mostly old people like them and they are very conservative.
this post was submitted on 10 Jan 2024
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DPP would probably lose if the vote weren't split
What's 柯P's base?
Aggressive in what sense?
I think I used the wrong word. Antagonistic is better. They are more antagonistic to Mainland China while KMT historically has been more assertive overseas. Many dictators in Latin America benefitted from KMT partnership.
So who does mainland China prefers?
KMT
I agree with GreenWater. DPP seems to have the upper hand, they are very unapologetic with their messaging: “open up to the world first, then to China”, typical neoliberal stance but definitely more appealing to the younger progressive base, whereas the KMT has the opposite stance and more vague messaging.
KMT’s Hou seems to be on the reactive mode right now, with his “I’m the true patriot, I promise I will not sell out Taiwan” affirmation, which appears to suggest that pro-China stance is rather poisonous with the voting base. Even if KMT wins, they will still have to tread carefully with their policies regarding China.