The polls in 2016 were largely on target. Clinton won the popular vote by roughly the predicted margin and the few key swing states that lost her the race had results that were largely within the margin of error. Lots of people took 2016 as an indication that polling is no longer good. That's the wrong lesson to learn from 2016; it just doesn't match the facts.
Anamnesis
joined 1 year ago
I bet these polls are within a couple points of the reality, as they pretty much always have been (even in the era of cell phones). They specifically weight the results based on the expected non-response of various groups. They account for the most obvious objection that anybody could raise about a modern poll (this one).
Been a long time. Once I found out it was all bones and hooves and connective tissue, that kinda took the fun out of it.
I'd guess it's behavioral isolation because your behaviors caused the isolation? I'm guessing this is bio?
The polls are worse, by a lot. He is absolutely sinking and not coming back.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/03/us/politics/poll-debate-biden-trump.html
Would all those guys lose to Trump? Probably. Will Biden lose to Trump? Definitely. I'll take long odds over no odds.
He could govern. No sane person can deny that Biden is not as mentally acute as he was four years ago.
It's a pretty decent film, if a little heavy on the religious message.
I don't know about you guys, but I'm gonna say this was a good call.
I mean, men don't live as long as women. Seems natural to focus on the group who has a bigger problem dying younger.