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Lured away by the guy who consistently stepped up to be the detractor to Biden delivering on all the meaningful campaign promises? While I think this was an intentional partnership between the two, I don’t see Manchin luring away any 3rd party voters at all.
I think Manchin would lure independents who don't like Trump but would vote for Trump over Biden. That's probably a small group, but he still might steal more from Trump than Biden.
Those aren’t independents, those are conservatives in denial. Biden is the Democratic Party incarnate, for all its faults and foibles. If they’d rather vote for a traitorous, unashamed self-serving conman over what amounts to the avatar of status quo, they were never going to vote for any Democrat regardless of their position. That makes it entirely clear which side they’re on, even if they claim not to be on one.
Many of the independents that voted for Biden out of necessity were upset that he wasn’t further left, not that he wasn’t further right. That, or they were people who traditions voted R but were so disgusted with Trump that they voted against him out of necessity.
Edit: Corrected a thing.
As a lifelong independent, I really can't stand how the left has begun calling all independents conservatives in denial these last couple years. I'm practically a socialist. I just think Democrats largely suck, too, so I'll vote for them, but I'm not going to pretend to be one of them.
I typed out probably a dozen different replies of all kinds to you, but ultimately decided against posting any of them because on reflection they could all be seen as negative.
So rather than that, I'll say you raise a valid point and I apologize for my previous statement. I think you and I could probably see eye to eye on a lot of subjects.
I suspect we would. I'm fortunate that I don't have to register with a party to vote in their primaries, so I can happily remain registered as independent unless/until a better party comes along and gains traction.