this post was submitted on 03 Jul 2024
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Shit’s completely fucked. It’s time to stop denying the fucking obvious and change horses before we careen off a fucking cliff. I’m voting for whoever the d is, but I cannot see how Biden wins without some black swan. He’s not worth the risk.

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago (1 children)

You better. There are a lot of issues with trying to run an accurate poll in this modern day - but a big dip in the polls is still a concerning sign.

It helps no one to bury their heads in the sand.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

Polls are horseshit and only useful for trills and propagandists to “validate” their bullshit. I could poll everyone I k ow that’s voting for Biden and show you that he is favored 100%.

Anyone can make a poll validate anything they want.

Vote like polls don’t exist.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

I think that's partially true, and you're welcome to ignore the politics up until election day. America absolutely suffers from the obscenely long campaigns for president - but a lot of people are engaged in the constant 24/7 media churn and those people were pretty clearly unimpressed with Biden's performance.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

That would be a really shit poll though, your methodology would be "I found people who I knew would answer the question this way" and everyone would see. If there is a methodological issue with this poll that isn't hand-waving I'd be interested to hear it.

E.g. "but who answers the phone anymore?" They know this issue and use a bunch of complicated statistical shit to adjust for it or just improve the methodology. The people making these polls actually tend to know what they're doing.