this post was submitted on 17 Sep 2024
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We have definitely been transported to an alternate universe

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[–] [email protected] 93 points 2 months ago (2 children)

MTG hasn't suddenly grown a ethocortical gland. She's getting polling numbers that scare her, and she wants to win reelection. Georgia is turning purple for a variety of reasons, and a government shut down would be bad for her campaign.

[–] [email protected] 30 points 2 months ago (1 children)

I haven't seen polling specifically for her district but, while Georgia is very purple (and has been since like 2014), her district is gerrymandered to hell and back to not be anything other than red. I think I saw that it's one of the deepest red districts in the country.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

Deep red refers to voter registrations. It's generally a very good indicator which was they will go, but this election is anything but politics as usual.

I'm not privy to her internal polling, but I'll bet she saw numbers than people in her district are concerned about Trump, see a lack of leadership in the GOP, and are considering staying home rather than show up for her. Angry people show up to vote, and if enough people say they are going to vote Trump out, then she doesn't want to be on his boat when it happens.

Another possibility is that she's testing the waters for a Senate or Governor run in 2026. She doesn't need to move towards the center if she can bash people to her right. It makes her look reasonable and conciliatory without actually being either one.

Either way, she's not doing this because of principles. She's doing it for personal benefit, because she's a conservative.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 2 months ago (1 children)

I'm sorry but, as a Georgian, I'm pretty sure she has a 0% chance of either losing her district or getting elected to statewide office, no matter what she does.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 months ago

Fair, I don't know much about Georgia.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 months ago

The only danger MTG has in her district, as someone who lives right next to her district, is being primaried. She will never lose the general to a Democrat.