Image is of the aftermath of an Israeli bombing of Beirut in 2006.
We are now almost one year into the war and genocide in Gaza. Despite profound hardship, the Gazan Resistance continues its battles against the enemy, entirely undeterred. Despite Israeli proclamations throughout 2024 that they have cleared out Hamas from various places throughout Gaza, we still see regular attacks and ambushes against Zionist forces. Just today (Monday), Al Qassam fighters ambushed and destroyed another convoy of Israeli vehicles. The predictions early on in the war were that Israel would defeat Hamas in mere months, needing only until December, then January, and so on. This has proven very much untrue. Israel is stuck in the mud; unable to destroy their enemy due to their lack of knowledge about the "Gaza Metro" and, of course, a lack of actual fighting skill, given how many times I've seen Zionists getting shot while they gaze wistfully out of windows.
The same quagmire will occur in Lebanon, only considerably worse. Both Nasrallah and Sinwar possess a similar strategy of luring Zionist forces onto known, friendly territory, replete with traps and ambushes, to bleed them dry of equipment, manpower, and the will to continue fighting. The scale of the invasion could fall anywhere on the spectrum from "very limited" - more of a series of raids on Hezbollah positions than truly trying to occupy land - to a total invasion which would seek to permanently take control of Southern Lebanon. Neither is likely to destroy, or even substantially diminish Hezbollah's fighting abilities. This is not wishful thinking: Hezbollah has convincingly defeated Israel twice before in its history, pushing them from their territory, and both times Hezbollah had almost no missiles and a limited supply of other equipment, relying on improvisation as often as not. The Hezbollah of 2024 is an entirely different organization to that of the early 2000s.
Attempts to drive wedges between Hezbollah and the rest of Lebanon are also unlikely to succeed. Hezbollah is not just a military force, it is extremely interlinked into various communities throughout Lebanon, drawing upon those communities to recruit soldiers. Throughout its history, it has provided education, healthcare, reconstruction, and dozens of other services one would attribute to a state. Amal Saad's recent suggestion of using "quasi-state actor" as a more respectful replacement for the typical "non-state actor" seems advisable. And the decentralized command structures, compartmented leadership, strong succession planning, and aforementioned community ties almost entirely neutralizes the effectiveness of assassinations. Hezbollah's Deputy Secretary General Naim Qassem has confirmed that Hezbollah's path has been set by Nasrallah, and his martyrdom will not stop nor even pause their efforts. Additionally, he confirmed that despite the recent attacks by Israel which nominally focussed on destroying missile depots, Hezbollah's supply of weapons has not been degraded, and they are still only using the minimum of their capabilities.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
https://xcancel.com/JesseJenkins/status/1840773225070158215
critical support to the US in reducing carbon emissions by de-electrifying itself
gommunism no food? capitalism no power!
They're fucked
did they send all the transformers to the ukraine ?
kinda fucked imagine you come here from another planet only to be sent to the front by joe biden
Optimus Crime
Zelenksy does give off Starscream energy where he's so self serving he'll do war crimes then turn on his master at any moment.
Indeed
Yes actually
https://hexbear.net/comment/5461736
You called it
Translation: Mind if we obfuscate the government's eventual refusal to do anything about restoring power?
When you’re de-industrialized, it’s not shameful to ask a highly industrialized country for help with basic infrastructure you can no longer build yourself.
I’m sure someone like Donald Trump can spin it like “look CHYNA is giving us free stuff because I made a deal that prioritize America” and his supporters will eat it up.
“I made a phone call to President Xi and said to him, you’ve been robbing our country for free all these while. Now you gotta give us something back. President Xi said he likes me, he said I’m the smartest president America’s ever had, he’s going to do that because I’m a good leader for America. Kamala would NEVER be able to get this deal made! The Chinese have no respect for Kamala.”
making a strong case for another term of Comrade Nation Builder
He is. Remember when he forced China into signing long-term LNG contract with US producers and touted it as some genius Art of the Deal move?
A couple years later the Ukraine war started and the LNG price shot through the roof, but the US producers were already locked into the price with Chinese importers, who then re-sold the LNG to Europe at high price for profit.
Trump is China’s highest ranking asset in America.
There is a reason why the oil and gas industry hates Trump lol, probably the first mass defection from the Republican Party thanks to Trump. Many oil investors who went all in during Obama’s Shale revolution in 2013-14 lost billions of dollars because he wanted to keep gasoline price low. It took Biden’s Ukraine war to restore America as the leading exporter of oil and gas again.
Call me a commie but there are plenty of big projects happening around the country (stadiums/airports) we could just help ourselves... whomikiddin
https://www.forbes.com/sites/tedreed/2024/09/30/as-europe-travel-booms-copenhagen-stakes-claim-as-northernmost-hub/
The rest of it is Russiagate nonsense. Couldn't find anything about sending supplies to Ukrain but could be limited syock being bought up by Ukraine or something. Also Umraine is attacking Russian substations with its missiles lately and hasn't been depicted as evil like Russia doing it.
Ahh, thanks.
Who could have guessed that having just barely enough of everything for minor repairs and not stockpiling anything would lead to bad outcomes if shit really hit the fan.
Oh right literally everybody except the people that got more money for "reduc8ng costs" by not having backup parts for critical infrastructure.
They had a stockpile of these, they gave them to Ukraine lmao
The social costs don’t fall on them, capitalism is an incredibly logical and efficient system!
I love how people like these call the just in time-structure they have implemented into everything a "supply chain challenge" every time their lean, mean, market machine proves it does not work in real world conditions.