this post was submitted on 07 Oct 2024
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One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain't worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.

Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.


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Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

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Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
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Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 101 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (5 children)

'Prepare for post-Hezbollah phase' US envoy tells Lebanon as Israeli massacres intensify | The Cradle

US Ambassador to Lebanon Lisa Johnson has asked political forces in the country to “prepare for the post-Hezbollah phase, where its control over the state and its institutions and the state’s border crossings is no longer permitted.” Al-Akhbar reported on 11 October.

She reiterated that “Hezbollah has become very weak after the strikes that were directed at it, targeting its leaders and killing its Secretary-General, and therefore, it can no longer impose what it wants, and there is a new political phase that the country will witness soon in which the party has no place.”

delusional. they are still sticking to this deranged fantasy that killing Nasrallah (and 600 bystanders) somehow made Hezbollah a fraction of its former self. hard to believe this is purely cynical, feels like it could be that syndrome where the failsons running the show have fallen for all the previous generation's propaganda

[–] [email protected] 61 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

somebody should tell all the special forces commandos Israel keeps sending over the border that they're being killed by a military force that can no longer impose what it wants on them

I'm sure they'll be thrilled

[–] [email protected] 53 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

it's like in Ukraine when the Russian army had been totally destroyed for the fourteen time in the war after 100,000 soldiers were killed in a human wave attack because Putin is both evil and stupid, and so the only conceivable explanations as to why Ukraine had not fully taken back its territory is either a) Russian ghosts fighting back, or b) Ukraine was firing on its own troops whenever they tried to advance

like, the West just kept asserting that Russia had run out of missiles and even though they were repeatedly wrong, they didn't really have anything else to do other than keep repeating it in the hopes that it maybe it would come true. perhaps a Russian weapons manufacturer would see the headlines and go "damn, really? alright, I won't check the latest figures from my factory, I'm just gonna turn this place into a bakery."

[–] [email protected] 24 points 1 month ago

Putin is really totally humiliated this time!

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 month ago

Evil Putler reversed the polarity in Ukraine so the helpless Ukrainians got confused about the direction and started advancing the wrong way, so it’s actually a demonstration of plucky Ukrainian military prowess!

[–] [email protected] 59 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (4 children)

this is literally TikTok manifestation but for geopolitics. if we keep saying that something is true, it has to become true, even as we feed the next wave of Israeli soldiers in to take selfies 500 feet away from a border village and get obliterated by Hezbollah rockets. it's always worked for us before, why wouldn't it work now?

trying to manufacture alternative realities only really works if you have a decent chance of, y'know, winning, and therefore stand a chance in the future of creating those alternative realities that you've been establishing via propaganda. there is nothing that Israel could do short of carpet bombing southern Lebanon with nukes that would meaningfully degrade Hezbollah. it is simply too deeply embedded, both literally (miles of tunnels underground), socially, economically, and politically. taking out Nasrallah and the subsequent bombings since then have taken Hezbollah from 100% strength to like, 99.5% strength. Hamas is still very much intact and still killing Zionists after a year of war and they are almost entirely shut off from the world; Hezbollah can keep going as long as there's a border to smuggle goods across, and it is impossible for Israel to totally occupy Lebanon. they can barely occupy a small village.

this leads me to believe that the Israeli strategy will be to eventually withdraw and stop trying after taking colossal losses, then in the classic Israeli fashion, declare victory and say that Hezbollah has been destroyed, but I'm unsure what the point of that will be when the missiles keep firing over the border and settlers are still unable to return to the north because Hezbollah will still be 95% intact.

[–] [email protected] 66 points 1 month ago (4 children)

here let me try it think-mark

'Prepare for post-capitalism phase' Chinese envoy tells California as second American civil war intensifies

[–] [email protected] 35 points 1 month ago
[–] [email protected] 24 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Only difference is that would be a massive improvement for Amerikkka.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 1 month ago

this is great! do daily headlines in the fakenews comm pls

[–] [email protected] 33 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

this must be similar to what it felt like during anti-Vietnam-War activism when the government would keep reporting kill counts as if they indicated progress

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Israeli strategy will be to eventually withdraw and stop trying after taking colossal losses, then in the classic Israeli fashion, declare victory and say that Hezbollah has been destroyed

This is USian strategy ala Vietnam. Israeli military strategy will follow course of apartheid South Africa military strategy.

That is, declare war on everyone around them and eventually succumb to guerillas from neighbors and to the economic blockade causing the economy to enter free fall.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

I sincerely believe you guys don't know the history of the region. Israel occupied southern lebanon for 20 years. At this point they don't want to win per se, they just want to collapse the country into famine and civil war.

[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 month ago (2 children)

The audacity to say “here’s how it’s going to be” to a sovereign nation without even bothering with a false pretense. I guess killing a million plus of your own citizens in a pandemic via negligent homicide with no consequences has really emboldened the US government.

[–] [email protected] 25 points 1 month ago (1 children)

“Prepare for post-head-attached-to-your-neck phase”, VILenin tells US Ambassador Lisa Johnson

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 month ago

there are decades where nothing happens, and there are weeks where decapitations happen

[–] [email protected] 16 points 1 month ago

They're manifesting. They did this shit with Russia, Gaza, Yemen, and now Lebanon. They'll keep doing this too. That's what their foreign policy has come to; walk in, declare "how things are gonna be", get ass handed and eat shit when attempting to force other party to bend to us demands, leave and keep talking about it in media releases.

[–] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago

They said the same thing about installing the PA in Gaza, and they're no closer to that goal either.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 month ago

hard to believe this is purely cynical, feels like it could be that syndrome where the failsons running the show have fallen for all the previous generation's propaganda

I 100% believe this to be the case.