this post was submitted on 06 Nov 2024
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politics

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[–] [email protected] 22 points 1 week ago (2 children)

I will note at the rate things are going Trump has like a 85% chance of beating his 2020 numbers and a small chance of beating Biden's 2020 numbers. It's not JUST Harris poor turnout.

(Also her turnout was only bad by 2020 standards, it's still higher than John Kerry or Gore or Hillary)

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 week ago (1 children)

What about as a percentage of the overall voting eligible population?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Trump is currently > 1,5 million votes behind his 2020 numbers with >99% counted almost everywhere. I don't think he has a chance of getting even close to Biden's numbers, and beating his 2020 numbers seems unlikely at the moment.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 week ago

California is only 57%