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I will note at the rate things are going Trump has like a 85% chance of beating his 2020 numbers and a small chance of beating Biden's 2020 numbers. It's not JUST Harris poor turnout.
(Also her turnout was only bad by 2020 standards, it's still higher than John Kerry or Gore or Hillary)
What about as a percentage of the overall voting eligible population?
yes
Trump is currently > 1,5 million votes behind his 2020 numbers with >99% counted almost everywhere. I don't think he has a chance of getting even close to Biden's numbers, and beating his 2020 numbers seems unlikely at the moment.
California is only 57%