this post was submitted on 26 Jan 2024
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chapotraphouse
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I do, yes. Republicans aren't going to go to start a countrywide civil war over some razor wire on the border. That's the only other way this ends, either the funding cuts and a few local force deaths stop this, or it's literally civil war. I guess the secret 3rd option is that Biden just does nothing and Texas keeps doing what they're doing. That's also pretty likely. Either way 2 of those 3 options are basically systemically nothings, and a civil war is highly highly highly unlikely.
It's option 3.
Biden will do nothing and lose another 15 points in the polls when he clearly demonstrates he's not only full steam ahead on genocide abroad, he's also not gonna do a goddamn thing about the rapidly expanding fascism at home either.
Sure, but Yugoslavia was never the heart of the imperial core. There's no way the US balkanizes over something like this, it would be completely devastating to global capitalist hegemony. They won't destroy themselves over something like this.
If they really thought like this they would have made sure Bernie won so that they could buy themselves more time before worsening material conditions radicalize people.
Objectively that would be better for the survival of capital than leaning harder into neoliberal austerity
This is not a rational system making careful decisions
were the yugoslavians not invested in not detonating the country too? civil war is generally to the common ruin of the contending interests, but in spite of not being in people's best interest it still happens
I mean, Brexit was the same kind of irrational, if lower stakes.