this post was submitted on 04 Sep 2023
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Image is of container ships waiting outside the canal. While there is usually some number of ships waiting for passage, the number has increased significantly lately.


In order to move ships through the Panama Canal, water is needed to fill the locks. The water comes from freshwater lakes, which are replenished by rainfall. This rainfall hasn't been coming, and Lake Gatun, the largest one, is at near record low levels.

Hundreds of ships are now in a maritime traffic jam, unable to cross the canal quickly. Panama is attempting to conserve water and have reduced the number of transits by 20% per day, among other measures. The Canal's adminstrators have warned that these drought conditions will remain for at least 10 months.

It is unlikely that global supply chains will be catastrophically affected, at least this year. Costs may increase for consumers in the coming months, especially for Christmas, but by and large goods will continue to flow, around South America if need be. Nonetheless, projecting trends over the coming years and decades, you can imagine how this is yet another nudge by climate change towards dramatic economic, environmental, and political impacts on the world at large. It also might prompt discussions inside various governments about nearshoring, and the general vulnerability of global supply chains - especially as the United States tries, bafflingly, to go to war with China.


After some discussion in the last megathread about building knowledge of geopolitics, some of us thought it might be an interesting idea to have a Country of the Week - essentially, I/we choose a country and then people can come in here and chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants, related to that country. More detail in this comment.

Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

Okay, look, I got a little carried away. Monday's update usually covers the preceding Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, but I went ahead and did all of last week. If people like a more weekly structure then I might try that instead, if not, then I'll go back to the Mon-Wed-Fri schedule.

Links and Stuff


The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


(page 7) 50 comments
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[–] [email protected] 29 points 1 year ago

Deal reached to open roads to Azerbaijan's breakaway Nagorno-Karabakh region

Ethnic Armenian authorities in Azerbaijan's breakaway region of Nagorno-Karabakh agreed on Saturday to let in aid shipments from Baku-held territory for the first time in decades, in return for the restoration of road links to Armenia.

Armenia's Armenpress state news agency cited the Karabakh local authorities as saying that they had granted access to shipments of Russian goods to the region through the town of Askeran, referring to a Karabakh town close to the frontline with Azerbaijan.

"At the same time, an agreement has been reached to restore humanitarian shipments by the Russian peacekeepers and the International Committee of the Red Cross along the Lachin Corridor," the Armenpress report said, referring to the area through which the road linking Karabakh to Armenia passes. It said the move was driven by "severe humanitarian problems" in the blockaded region.

[–] [email protected] 29 points 1 year ago (12 children)

Wait so has Ukraine at long last broken through that first defensive line? Seeing more claims of it

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[–] [email protected] 29 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (5 children)

CW fake news

Actor turned conscript James Gandalfini executed with sledgehammer by Wagner Group for desertion

(Reuters) LONDON - Russia's Yevgeny Prigozhin, a close ally of President Vladimir Putin, said on Sunday via ouija board that a former mercenary who was filmed being executed by a sledgehammer blow to the head after changing sides in the Ukraine war was a traitor.

Prigozhin, a Russian businessman who founded the Wagner private military group, was responding to an unverified video distributed on Telegram that showed a man identified as a former Wagner mercenary and star of the Sopranos James Gandalfini being executed after admitting that he had changed sides in September to "go home and eat an entire tray of ladyfingers".

Full story

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[–] [email protected] 29 points 1 year ago (2 children)

https://ghostarchive.org/archive/7oLcN

Forbes own David Axehole is back with a fun article titled

Ukraine’s 2024 Problem: How To Repair Thousands Of Western-Made Combat Vehicles

TL-DR: fancy superior western equipment > than Slavic asiatic ork scrap mekanik Gobsmasha tankz, also it's getting hard to recover and refurbish said western equipment as it gets destroyed in minefields because NATO tactics boil down to getting officers to watch watching "Enemy at the Gates" and every Futurama episode with Zapp Brannigan and sending human wave assaults into minefields

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[–] [email protected] 29 points 1 year ago

Based on the experience of testing in the Northern Military District, the electronics will be modified in the Armata tanks, after which they are planned to be put into production and begin to be delivered to the troops next year, Murakhovsky, one of the leading Russian military experts, told RIA Novosti

Of course, "being delivered to the troops" doesn't necessarily mean they will be used on the frontline in Ukraine.

[–] [email protected] 29 points 1 year ago

https://ghostarchive.org/archive/ynnGl

More Picklehead Ryan from Business Insider writing mingy cope about Russian minefields

A shortage of land mines for deep, dense minefields forced Russian troops to put down irregular ones, creating new problems for Ukraine. By Ryan Pickrell

article boils down to wojak-nooo RUSSIA'S RUNNING OUT OF MINES! THEY'RE GETTING DESPARATE! WE JUST GOTTA PUSH FURTHER IN AND WE'LL REACH CRIMEA BY CHRISTMAS!

[–] [email protected] 29 points 1 year ago (5 children)
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[–] [email protected] 28 points 1 year ago (3 children)

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/09/08/danish-tank-instructors-advice-to-ukrainian-leopard-1-crews-fight-on-the-move-and-at-night/?sh=4f93b113390d

Forbes isn't playing nice with ghostarchive and I still can't access the other archive kitty-cri So direct links from forbes until I figure something out or someone suggests something

Axehole Dave is back with fresh slop saying

Danish Tank Instructor’s Advice To Ukrainian Leopard 1 Crews: Fight On The Move, And At Night by David Axe

Actually logically sound advice from the Danes, funny enough, telling ukrainian tank crews to take advantage of their vehicles' capabilities instead of playing human wave assault minesweeper with them. Story boils down to the tank in discussion having a good enough electronics suite in combination with good firing range to be used effectively during the night to take potshots at Russian fortifications before high-tailing back to safer positions. Very advanced NATO tactic right there. Shooting'n'scooting. So advanced that the Taliban, Iraqi resistence, Isis, pretty much anyone that hated western boots on the ground in Iraq and Afghanistan, etc. used it extensively to this day on NATO occupiers to varying degrees of success.

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