I’m absolutely not going to bank on it, but holy shit, can you imagine the shitshow in the GOP if Texas goes blue? Like… jesus. I think that’d actually sink the modern GOP entirely.
this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2024
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As if the GOP has any sense of introspection.
Its been sorta expected to happen eventually. Texas is only not a swing state because of things like voter suppression. There's only 6 states with worse turnout than Texas. If Texas had the turnout of Minnesota, it might just be a blue state.
Intended to vote yesterday, but something came up and I couldn't. Voted today. Longest lines I've seen at a polling place for early voting.
I know it's anecdote, but I'm hopeful.
Mine was really long too, and was full of a lot of women there on their own. I hope that the taking of their autonomy and rights was enough to get a lot of them out there to boost our numbers.
I voted yesterday and it was crazy busy. The absolute busiest early voting I've ever seen.
Does trump have a chance if he loses texas?
[e]Found a dynamic map you can play with: https://www.270towin.com/
States don't vote in a vacuum, in any scenario where Trump loses Texas he also loses closer states.
There’s technically a mathematical possibility but if he loses Texas, his campaign is completely over
To expand on this slightly, if Harris wins Texas, that plus the blue states puts her at 266. Any one swing state would be enough to put her past 270, even Nevada which has only 6 electoral votes. So unless Trump can flip a blue state, he would have to win all the swing states.
While that scenario isn't impossible, it's extremely unlikely that Texas would have such a huge and unexpected surge for the Democrats while they are simultaneously having a disastrous performance everywhere else. It's not like the Harris campaign has been dumping all of its resources into Texas, quite the opposite.
Short answer is yes. We don't need a marginal difference, we need to be blue in lots of swing states.
My concern with early voting is it'll make it easier for them to target democratic voters, especially if the numbers are that skewed.
How many votes did we lose by last time?
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https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/4947150-texas-early-voting-turnout-record/