this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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Image is from this SCMP article.

Much of the analysis below is sourced from Michael Roberts' great website.


Japan's ruling parliamentary coalition, consisting of the LDP (purple) and it's junior coalition partner Komeito (in light pink) have lost their ruling majority. They have ruled post-war Japan for almost its entire history. The LDP is currently led by Shigeru Ishiba after Kishida stood down due to a corruption scandal, and ties to the Unification Church.

While geopolitical factors (over the cold war between the US and China, etc) may have played a role, by far the biggest reason for this result in the poor economic conditions over the past few years. Inflation has risen and real wages have fallen, with little relief for the working class via things like tax reductions. While inequality in Japan is not as extreme as in America, it is still profound, with the top 10% possessing 60% of the wealth, while the bottom 50% possess just 5%.

Shinzo Abe previously tried to boost economic performance through monetary easing and fiscal deficits, while Kishida ran on a "new capitalism" which rejected Abe's neoliberalism and promised to reduce inequality. Nothing substantial has resulted from all this, however, other than increasing corporate wealth. Innovation continues to fall, and domestic profitability is low, resulting in decreasing investment at home by Japanese corporations. Labour productivity growth has only slightly picked up since the mid-2000s and is falling again. The rate of profit has fallen by half since the 1960s, and Japan has been in a manufacturing recession - or very close to it - since late 2022. In essence: there is no choice but between stagnation or decline.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 77 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (13 children)

in today's hopium news: The US Military Is In A Death Spiral by comrade Indrajit

Teaser:

The US army is the worst army in the world. They're the only army that aspires to worldwide dominance, and they suck at it. It's the only Empire based on losing every war and looting its own treasury. Losing the last war is always covered up by the starting the next war, but if you look at it historically, America has been losing it for decades now. Korea, Vietnam, Afghanistan, Ukraine, Palestine, these are all losses or draws.

[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 days ago

My portfolio of defense contractors has won all these wars what do you mean

[–] [email protected] 41 points 2 days ago (28 children)

I think this is a fundamental misunderstanding of what the US military's purpose is within American empire, and how it's funded. Note that the American taxpayer does not fund the military, foreign countries with recycled dollars they accumulate from global trade do that by buying US Treasury bonds. And the military keeps "losing" but the shareholders of all those defense firms are quite happy. Long term sure the US is fucked if it's military can't even take out missile launchers in Yemen, but long is a rather long time.

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[–] [email protected] 53 points 2 days ago (3 children)

The German greens are literal eco-fascists

[–] [email protected] 45 points 2 days ago (1 children)

They got Germany to shut down all of its nuclear plants then blew up Nordstream and declared Cold War on Russia.

Absolute mad lads, completely destroyed their own economy

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[–] [email protected] 39 points 2 days ago (4 children)

The Mythology Behind the Grameen Bank

We look at the history of Bangladesh's New Leader Mohammed Yunus

Esha Krishnaswamy

The day after the color revolution in Bangladesh, Mohammed Yunus, founder of the Grameen bank, a darling of the west, and a favorite of the Clinton foundation was coronated as “Chief advisor” to the new interim government. To understand the man, and how he will govern in Bangladesh, it is important to understand his history.

Before occupying his newest role as Bangladeshi Juan Guaido, Mohammed Yunus rose to fame in the 1990s, for his Grameen bank, a bank whose purpose was to give micro-loans to poor people. It eventually expanded to create a cottage industry with his Grameen Telecom, Grameen Fisheries, Grameen Danone Food and more!

In his effort to promote the Grameen Bank, Mohammed Yunus has made outrageous claims about his micro-loan program. He once said, “Poverty will be eradicated in a generation. Our children will have to go to a `poverty museum’ to see what all the fuss was about."

Even after 40 years of founding his ‘revolutionary’ institution, Bangladesh remains as poor as ever with 71.4% of the population living on less than $5.50 a day, while 1.3 million children are engaged in child labor. Sadly, people in Bangladesh experience poverty first-hand, and life, itself, is the poverty museum.

However, if we look at articles and literature on the Grameen Bank in the West, it mostly consists of hagiographies and repetition of outlandish claims made by Mohammed Yunus. A cursory examination proves that it is anything but a poverty relief program and the only thing these micro-loans guarantee is that their borrowers will take on more predatory loans.

The theory of micro-lending goes something like this: Give an impoverished, destitute villager 10,000 Takas as a loan. They will use that money to open up a Bhel Puri stand (or something similar), and then, with the income they generate from the Bhel Puri stand, they would not only repay the loan, but they will lift themselves out of poverty using their Bhel Puri straps.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 days ago (2 children)

By the fucking way, has any other big entity supporter country has a party with explicit goals of sanctioning pisrael (die linke doing struggle sessions as far as i know, bsw is kinda soft for weapon embargo, greens in uk are for embargo but not sanctions i don't think).

Is this some kinda universal point of being shit?

[–] [email protected] 31 points 2 days ago

Germany should not have been allowed to continue to exist after WWII

[–] [email protected] 31 points 2 days ago

Yes. Israel, being the right wing of fascism, is supported by social democrats, the left wing of fascism.

[–] [email protected] 84 points 2 days ago (5 children)

this article is from before Oct 7 but is nevertheless a powerful article about antisemitism vs antizionism by a Palestinian writer. I'm sure this has been posted before

https://mondoweiss.net/2023/09/jewish-settlers-stole-my-house-its-not-my-fault-theyre-jewish/

Here is where I stand. There is a Jew who lives–by force—in half of my home in Jerusalem, and he does so by “divine decree.” Many others reside—by force—in Palestinian houses, while their owners linger in refugee camps. It isn’t my fault that they are Jewish. I have zero interest in memorizing or apologizing for centuries-old tropes created by Europeans, or in giving semantics more heft than they warrant, chiefly when millions of us confront real, tangible oppression, living behind cement walls, or under siege, or in exile, and living with woes too expansive to summarize. I’m tired of the impulse to preemptively distance myself from something of which I am not guilty, and particularly tired of the assumption that I’m inherently bigoted. I’m tired of the pearl-clutching pretense that should such animosity exist, its existence would be inexplicable and rootless. Most of all, I’m tired of the false equivalence between semantic violence and systemic violence.

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[–] [email protected] 45 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

The SAJBD has issued baseless accusations of supporting terrorism against Gift of the Givers, one of several South African aid organizations still active in Palestine. While the MJC-SA has steadfastly refuted these allegations, this will no doubt create a precursor for more targeted killings of South Africans in particular.

Sources: PoliticsWeb, The Citizen

While not explicitly mentioned, other major aid groups include Africa Muslims Agency, Penny Appeal South Africa, Islamic Relief South African branch, Ashraful Aid, etc. all of whom will become likely targets.

Members of Gift of the Givers have been already killed in direct strikes since last year. The perpetrators may well even be other South African IDF servicemen seeking retribution.

[–] [email protected] 30 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Donald Trump’s Supporters Gather in Downtown New York - Telesur English

Article

He is expected to appear alongside other high-profile figures such as Elon Musk, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and Dana White.

On Sunday, thousands of supporters of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump gathered around Madison Square Garden in Manhattan. They arrived at the site hours before the former U.S. president was set to appear at this venue to hold a rally, marking the beginning of his campaign’s final week.

The arrival of Trump supporters led to road closures and traffic disruptions several hours before the start of the rally, which is set to begin at 5 p.m. and is expected to attract some 19,500 people. The crowd was decked out in red “Make America Great Again” hats and shirts with slogans like “No more bullshit!”

Trump is expected to appear alongside other high-profile figures such as Elon Musk, former presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and the Ultimate Fighting Championship CEO Dana White.

The Republican candidate has dared to appear in a predominantly Democratic city and a state that all polls indicate favors his Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harris. This will be his second rally in New York since his appearance in the Bronx on May 23.

The police presence around Madison Square Garden has been especially heavy because the concert venue is located near the major transportation hub of Penn Station, and there were concerns about potential anti-Trump protests.

“He best represents family values. That’s why we’ll vote for him,” said one supporter. Orthodox Jews who managed to secure coveted tickets to the rally stated, “With Trump, the alliance with Israel is solid, much better than with Harris, whose stance we’re not sure about.”

According to Trump campaign spokesperson Danielle Alvarez, the choice of Madison Square Garden for this major rally reflects his intention to “speak to all voters from the media capital of the world, New York.”

[–] [email protected] 21 points 2 days ago

With Trump, the alliance with Israel is solid, much better than with Harris, whose stance we’re not sure about.

A year of unabashed slaughter leaves them rather uncertain as to whether she supports the genocide. So they'll support a guy who will probably lose interest in it in a few months and/or fire Netangotyou over some petty disagreement. Can't make this shit up.

[–] [email protected] 80 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (12 children)

"Reporters" from The Federalist caught the Harris campaign organizing astroturfing on reddit-logo.

CW: The Federalist

They ended up getting into a discord server run by a campaign staffer that was organizing volunteers and maybe some other staffers to post/boost/brigade content on Reddit. They found that 126 of the top 1000 posts over the past month on r/politics were from users involved in the astroturfing campaign. The campaign also made a public Google doc that the writer took some screenshots of but, unsurprsingly, forgot to make a copy of lol.

At the end of the article, they call out some funny moderating going on in the Texas sub, which was noticeable to me. I got banned there maybe two weeks ago for saying I wasn't going to vote for Kamala over her support for genocide.

::: spoiler Some screenshots:

Discord messages/ops being organized by Harris staffer:

Some of the subs being targeted and what was posted:

List of reddit usernames involved and local subs being targeted. For some reason the site would let me upload more photos, so here's a link to them instead:

Usernames

Local subs targeted

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[–] [email protected] 54 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (4 children)
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[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (3 children)

Russia has taken this one Ukrainian town and the other 2 towns in a little offensive in the South and Selydovne is confirmed.

EDIT : now there are reports of Kostyantynopil' beeing attacked , which would kinda fuck ukraine if true, as it would create a "Kurakove Cauldron", and behind Kurakove theres basiclly just cottages no big towns anymore.

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[–] [email protected] 58 points 2 days ago (16 children)

Traffic accidents where their track vehicles collide with Yassin rockets:
https://xcancel.com/ME_Observer_/status/1850990729922826739

⚡️⭕️ #Israeli Radio: 418 people were killed in traffic accidents in "Israel" during the year 2024, which is the highest number in 20 years.

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Updates on floods in West and Central Africa this year, and a discussion of climatic trends in these regions (not good):

[Phys.org] Climate change-worsened floods wreak havoc in Africa

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[–] [email protected] 73 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (16 children)

The KKKneSSet has just alao banned UNWRA from operating within Gaza and the West Bank. Humanitarian groups and international workers are also banned from further entry and in 90 days, any remaining UNWRA operations will be hijacked, bombed or killed. The delivery of any aid is also very likely to be halted in totality, officially making food illegal.

This while the South African judges are on their flights back to South Africa from the Netherlands.

Sources: CII Radio, Salaamedia

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[–] [email protected] 58 points 2 days ago (2 children)

An Israeli F-16 almost collided with another Israeli fighter jet in the Ramot David Airbase prior to taking off to bomb Lebanon:
https://xcancel.com/MiddleEastIndex/status/1850832244564181476

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[–] [email protected] 86 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (4 children)

when I see Sanders debase himself I want to believe that it's because the three letter agencies have guns trained on Bernie's children and grandchildren, but deep down I know it's because he was a chauvinist and a zionist all along.

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[–] [email protected] 75 points 2 days ago (14 children)

Intelligence services turning a dial labeled “North Koreans” and constantly looking back at the audience for approval

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