this post was submitted on 10 Jul 2024
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It pops up as paywalled in Chrome, but not Firefox. Not on archive.org, so here's a tl;dr:

"Two private polls conducted in a swing New York House district and reviewed by POLITICO — one in September and another in March — found former President Donald Trump leading Biden there by 1 point, a virtual tie. And public polls over the last four months found Biden’s lead had winnowed to just 8 points across New York — an unusually narrow gap in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans 2 to 1.

“We’re still acting like this is a one-party state, which for pretty much 20, 25 years it has been,” Democratic Manhattan Borough President Mark Levine said. “I truly believe we’re a battleground state now.”

A Biden lead of 8 points in a state he carried by 23 in 2020 is a huge loss of support.

Current polling:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/new-york/

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[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 month ago (33 children)

His home state (Pennsylvania) went R once after the 1988 election...

But suddenly it's a "battleground" now too? He's down 4 points in his own backyard. Although technically most of his time was in Delaware, the corporate tax haven of America. The corporations that "live" in Delaware still love Joe. But the humans in Delaware are still for trump by like 3 points....

Despite Delaware being solid blue since 1988...

Turns out when we have Joe Biden, any state can be a battleground state!

I don't why people keep letting him pretend that a 34% approval rating is fine and 81 years old isn't really that old. This election is serious, and we can't afford to just plod along ignoring all the warning signs that Joe has to go

It doesn't matter what he wants or if he feels he's ready

It's too important to let him treat this like a personal decision between him and "the Lord God".

[–] [email protected] -2 points 1 month ago (29 children)

To those downvoting this comment (and every other comment critical of Biden):

What is the percentage of loss you are willing to accept before you call for Biden's removal from the ticket?

Is it 10%? 20%? 80%?

When will you be willing to consider a different candidate? Surely there's a number...I'd just like to know what it is.

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