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President Biden: My Legacy Is "I Kept My Word," "When I Said I Was Going To Do Something, I Did"
(www.realclearpolitics.com)
this post was submitted on 22 Dec 2024
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politics
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Maybe I'm wrong, but I was thinking more in the sense that a lot of people stayed home instead of going out to vote for Harris.
Her entire message was "I'm Biden, for a new generation". "I can't think of single thing I'd do differently", other than put a republican in her cabinet. And with as much time as she spent with her, it was probably going to be a Cheney, cause they've always been so popular with the American electorate...
Biden was nearly net negative 20 favorability when he dropped out, with almost two-thirds of Americans feeling the country was on the wrong track. Incumbents do not win with those numbers, especially ones who can't put together coherent sentences after 8pm.
Fair, I just think jumping to the conclusion that those folks would have come out to vote for Biden is a stretch when you look at how well his campaign was going. Worth remembering that Harris way outperformed Biden in terms of approval rating, which is a very imperfect metric, but the best one we have for guessing if folks would have come out to vote for Biden but stay home for Harris. In 2020, Biden was a challenger to an incumbent who was botching Covid from both a health and economy perspective. In 2024, he was an incumbent struggling to get out of the shadow of the global post-covid recession and some very unpopular decisions in foreign policy regarding the Middle East. Assuming he would have received 2020 levels of votes is not congruent with those facts