this post was submitted on 03 Nov 2024
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politics

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Edit 11:55 PM Pacific
Kentucky (8), Indiana (11), West Virginia (4), Florida (30), South Carolina (9), Tennessee (11), Alabama (9), Mississippi (6), Oklahoma (7), Arkansas (6), North Dakota (3), South Dakota (3), Nebraska (5*), Wyoming (3), Louisiana (8), Texas (40), Ohio (17), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Utah (6), Idaho (4), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), North Carolina (BG-16), Georgia (BG-16), Pennsylvanya (BG-19) called for Trump.

Vermont (3), Connecticut (7), District of Columbia (3), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Rhode Island (4), Delaware (3), Illinois (19), New Jersey (14), New York (28), Colorado (10), California (54), Washington (12), Oregon (8), Virginia (13), Hawaii (4), New Mexico (5), New Hampshire (4), Minnesota (10) for Harris.

2 counties in PA have extended voting hours due to voting machine problems. 9:30 PM in one, 10:00 PM in the other.

Multiple precincts in Georgia have extended hours due to bomb threats.

Edit 03:09 PM Pacific Harris wins Guam.

https://www.guampdn.com/news/guam-picks-harris-over-trump-in-non-binding-presidential-straw-poll/article_657b06b8-9b97-11ef-9896-1302c4e2ebe9.html

This thread is for the Presidential election, my plan is to start marking wins as soon as they are called, sorted by time zone.

Some states are going to take longer than others. Polls generally close at 8 PM local time, but they can't start counting early/mail in votes until after the polls close.

Wisconsin in particular has an interesting system where ballots are collected by MUNICIPALITY, not precinct, they have over 1,800 ballot counting locations and don't report until ALL 1,800 are in.

https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2024/10/22/wisconsin-voters-election-milwaukee-security-denier

Currently 232 EC votes from Blue States:

4+19+10+7+3+3+4+10+11 +4+14+28+4+3+13+54+12 +10+5+8+6

42 EC votes from Battleground States:

10+15+11+6

NC called for Trump. -16 here, +16 to Trump.

GA called for Trump. -16 here, +16 to Trump.

PA called for Trump. -19 here, +19 to Trump.

Which leaves 264 EC votes in Red States.

9+6+6+6+8+6+10+5+3+7 +3+40+30+11+8+17+9+11+4+3+4+4+3+16+16+19

270 to Win.

Online map here!

https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/

(page 8) 50 comments
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[–] [email protected] 31 points 21 hours ago* (last edited 21 hours ago) (1 children)

+1 cat lady vote in Michigan!

.

(And I got their last cat sticker)

[–] [email protected] 8 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

that looks like something you'd see in a museum

[–] [email protected] 7 points 16 hours ago (1 children)

Only if we win. If we lose, the museums of the future will all be about Elon Musk.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 12 hours ago

You think Trump would let the museums be about anyone but him?

Musk will eventually fall out of favor.

[–] [email protected] 34 points 22 hours ago (3 children)

The rest of the world is watching, America.

Don't fuck this up.

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[–] [email protected] 25 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

“It looks like we have a very substantial lead,” said Trump after 6 votes were counted indicating a 3-3 tie.

https://apnews.com/live/trump-harris-election-updates-11-5-2024

[–] [email protected] 9 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

after 6 votes were counted indicating a 3-3 tie.

A 3-3 tie where there were zero registered democrats (2 undeclared and 4 registered Republicans), meaning at best both undeclared and at least one registered Republican voted for Harris. At worst it means at least 3 registered Republicans voted for Harris.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 18 hours ago

They all voted for Haley in the primaries and voted Joe Biden in 2020. So they are “new england republicans” not “trump republicans” ahah.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 20 hours ago

Leaving this here as a refresher for today...

Jimmy Carter: The U.S. Is an “Oligarchy With Unlimited Political Bribery”

https://theintercept.com/2015/07/30/jimmy-carter-u-s-oligarchy-unlimited-political-bribery/

[–] [email protected] 30 points 1 day ago

jordanlund is a Lemminal treasure. This thread needs to be pinned to the top of Lemmy (if that was a thing).

[–] [email protected] 2 points 15 hours ago* (last edited 15 hours ago)

AP calls Vermont for Harris
Indiana for Trump
Kentucky for Trump

[–] [email protected] 28 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

I did my part. You all need to get out and vote if you havent already.

I'm a little pissed off that our Election Officials were allowing Trump voters to wear hats and shirts while they were voting. But I guess they didn't want to chance the risk of these violent fuckers fucking up the voting.

[–] [email protected] 20 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

That's electioneering and not allowed.

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 20 hours ago* (last edited 20 hours ago) (1 children)

Although I think Harris will win she probably has 55-45 odds, this following map is the most likely electoral college outcome in my homemade dataanalysis model

https://presidentialpickem.com/share-bracket/16ead2df-6737-4704-86d4-6f606d6e6a07 This map happens in about 15% of simulations.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

This map happens in about 15% of simulations

I'm not being critical of your analysis but I think this is a fairly meaningless statement?

If you considered all maps with any significant probability, and collated / weighted their results, the outcome would be 50:50 - the same as what every pollster has been telling us for the last several weeks.

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 14 hours ago (3 children)
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