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submitted 2 weeks ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[-] [email protected] 25 points 2 weeks ago

I don’t want to see anybody get hurt. Those North Koreans should maybe just stay home.

[-] [email protected] 28 points 2 weeks ago

A month from now: entire North Korean brigade defects to Ukraine in exchange for extra helpings of borscht

[-] [email protected] 10 points 2 weeks ago

Shit they will probably defect for a regular serving of Borscht

[-] [email protected] 4 points 2 weeks ago
[-] [email protected] 3 points 2 weeks ago

Yeah, they defect and they get theirs entire families moved to concentration camps... if they even get that far.

[-] [email protected] 2 points 2 weeks ago

That is likely the only way they don't all just walk away.

[-] [email protected] 2 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Borscht is fucking amazing, and I would defect to Ukraine for regular servings of it.

Not really, but I do love well-made borscht.

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

🤔

I mean I don't want them to fight, but I'm pretty sure they're not safe home either.

[-] [email protected] 22 points 2 weeks ago

Update: South Korea says it will send actual, meaningful numbers of troops into Pyongyang within thirty-one days, bringing a formal end to conflict on the Korean Peninsula.

/s but you know they’re thinking about it.

[-] [email protected] 9 points 2 weeks ago

Doesn't NK have one of the biggest standing armies in the world? I figured they could toss some troops into the blender and not care.

Also doesn't NK have a nuke? They'd definitely detonate one if they were invaded.

[-] [email protected] 10 points 2 weeks ago

do they have a nuke that works?

[-] [email protected] 3 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Only when crashing into the ocean, thousands of miles short of its target

Edit: seriously, though, it’s pretty clear that they can build nuclear warheads (how many and what size is unclear), but their problem is getting the bomb to its target.

Rocketry is hard. It’s uber-expensive, and it requires a great deal of trial-and-error. I wouldn’t be surprised if they had gotten data, etc, from Russia and China like some guidance (or even rocket plans), but NK’s best physicists and aerospace engineers are both: not that great, and working entirely alone with a budget that is a minuscule fraction of anyone else who has tried this.

They’ve been trying to launch an ICBM successfully for almost 2 decades. They haven’t had much success yet.

[-] [email protected] 2 points 2 weeks ago

Only one way to find out!

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[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago

I do feel guilty but that is what I wish would happen. Mostly for the sake of the people of NK. But some people would die on both sides...

[-] [email protected] 22 points 2 weeks ago

The Ukrainians should just fire back with delicious food and free visas for defectors.

[-] [email protected] 10 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

You joke, but i bet that it would be at least somewhat effective.

[-] [email protected] 18 points 2 weeks ago

Does this count as a world war yet?

[-] [email protected] 14 points 2 weeks ago

Its possible the keg is done being packed and we're watching the fuse dwindle

[-] [email protected] 12 points 2 weeks ago

Do we know the locations of all Austro-Hungarian princes?

[-] [email protected] 9 points 2 weeks ago

My bets have been on Taiwan being the flashpoint for well over a year now. Standing firm.

And my bet is and has been "before Christmas of 2024."

[-] [email protected] 9 points 2 weeks ago

Especially if there's "voting irregularities" or Trump wins outright. The Chinese would definitely take advantage of the confusion.

[-] [email protected] 4 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

I thought about that for a long time, and, honestly, it seems that Russia may have stolen China’s thunder there by invading Ukraine. As a result, the whole world (mostly) super-hates and has united against Russia with untold billions of weapons and aid to Ukraine.

What’s China to think of their Taiwan plan, now? Well, I think it’s obvious by watching what they’re doing, what they’ve been doing.

Although they’ve become more aggressive in the South China Sea, what with building all their fake islands and atolls in order to claim some sovereignty to the waters. But most of what they’re doing merely amounts to harassment and bullying of surrounding nations. And while there’s been a good amount of somewhat-incendiary talk re: China’s intentions towards Taiwan, they’ve actually done very little to accomplish that goal, as of late. They’re being careful, weighing their options, and proceeding slowly but surely.

Will Taiwan become the next place invaded? A new flashpoint? I don’t think so, or, at least, not for a while. The Ukraine War, Russia’s almost-collapsed economy, and their need for aid of all kinds has put China into an uncomfortable position, and they seem to be reprioritizing. Also, Taiwan has had a defense buildup for several years, and they’re far more capable of defending themselves than before.

If China makes any serious move against Taiwan, IMO, it will be a while from now.

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Idk. We've choked China out of AI supremacy. All of our mega GDP makers rely heavily on TSMC. Heavily.

I mean, entirely.

Like Biden throwing billions at chip manufacturers. Tensions in the South China Sea are ridiculous. The stakes have never been higher, and it's right in what they see as their back yard. Taking down TSMC cripples the US economy, causes a worldwide kerfuffle (especially with tensions from Russia/Ukraine, Israel/Palestine, Israel/Iran, US/Israel, US/Ukraine, US/Iran relationships.

I get what you mean that you've been thinking that for a decade. Ive been seeing it for as long. But it's gotten real with the AI bubble and tech sanctions. If it doesn't burst before 2030, there's no way China doesn't act. Frankly, I'm betting on less than 6 months.

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[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago

China starting it like that had been my firm suspicion for years, but after the past year or so, I've changed my mind. They still could be the ones to trigger it, but there are so many more players now. Russia could start it (or have already done so without us realizing it yet). Israel could start it. China could start it over island territories that they have no legitimate claim over--oh wait, that includes Taiwan.

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Strange time to change your mind about it...?

South China Seas have never been more piratey. It's basically a warzone already, inching closer to Taiwan every day.

By this I mean like... What're your regularish news sources? Because my radar flipped the other way.

[-] [email protected] 2 points 2 weeks ago

I’m still waiting for a star war.

[-] [email protected] 14 points 2 weeks ago

They will die horribly. This is a way for North Korea to purge people. It's fucking disgusting.

[-] [email protected] 6 points 2 weeks ago

That, or depending on how mistreated they were in North Korea, the soldiers surrender immediately because I'd have to assume Ukrainian prisons/jails/whatever are nowhere near as bad as just living in North Korea.

[-] [email protected] 2 points 2 weeks ago

I believe this is a possibility, esp. considering how openly Ukraine will accept surrenders/defectors. Russia may be a shithole for a lot of people, but Ukraine doesn’t have a huge amount of benefit to offer most Russians (to surrender/defect) compared to North Koreans. Ya, know, aside from the freedom from chattel military slavery… but most in NK have it much worse than Russians, so the appeal would be greater.

[-] [email protected] 4 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Their military is not what North Korea wants to purge. That's where they actually bother to send food.

[-] [email protected] 12 points 2 weeks ago

Putler running low on cannon fodder?

[-] [email protected] 7 points 2 weeks ago

Oh cool, a bunch of soldiers whos only military experience is goose stepping in front of their glorious leader and filling up balloons with shit to float over South Korea...

They're the global equivalent of the stereotypical trenchcoat wearing, wannabe-nazi bullies that leave flaming bags of shit on people's doorsteps and couldnt spraypaint a swastika if they had a gun to their head.

I hope Kim rations them extra pants, cause given their track record, they're going to be filling up more than balloons.

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago

I wonder how many just up and desert.

[-] [email protected] 6 points 2 weeks ago

If we have a world war, would they tell us?

By Dawn's Early Light

[-] [email protected] 4 points 2 weeks ago

The military treaty states: “In the event that any one of the two sides is put in a state of war by an armed invasion from an individual state or several states, the other side shall provide military and other assistance with all means in its possession without delay.”

Okay. And that hasn't happened.

[-] [email protected] 3 points 2 weeks ago
[-] [email protected] 3 points 2 weeks ago

Here's my prediction:

Russia send the NK troops forwards in human waves, mostly under armed with all of the rusty waves. The NK troops surrender when given the chance. Russia waits for the surrendering NK troops to get the Ukrainian troops out of cover and then opens up with artillery and FPV drones on both the Ukrainian troops and NK defectors.

this post was submitted on 26 Jun 2024
106 points (96.5% liked)

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