this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2024
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Image is of Jakarta, the capital of Indonesia and the fastest sinking city in the world. A new capital is being built elsewhere in Indonesia.


I was going to make Indonesia the COTW anyway (unless something really massive happened somewhere else) due to the elections that might really designate the end of an era in Indonesian politics. Michael Roberts wrote up a big piece on Indonesia about a week ago, one day before the election began, so a lot of this information is coming from him.


Indonesia has been ruled by President Joko Widodo for 10 years, but is now barred from a third term constitutionally. Under his presidency, the Indonesian economy has seen fairly good GDP growth overall - about 5% per year, or an average of 4% per capita - and is broadly popular with the electorate. The biggest problems are the common ones, such as a lack of jobs and a high cost of living. Widodo's successors have naturally promised more jobs and an economic plan that clearly draws at least some inspiration from China's rise from the periphery to the heights of the world economy and manufacturing, but this seems pretty unlikely for Indonesia because, well, Indonesia is ruled by capitalist bourgeoisie parties and China is not. Indonesia's main gigs are palm oil, nickel ore, and oil, with internal manufacturing of these primary commodities only slowly growing and reliant on foreign labour.

Indonesia has a rather big employment problem. On the face of it, things don't seem bad, with an unemployment rate of only 5% - but this is only because it counts anybody who works even a couple hours per week. 60% of the workers in Indonesia are in the informal sector, with no real labour rights, sick pay, or guaranteed wages. And half of the ~8 million unemployed are young people. Indonesia is the sixth most unequal country on the planet, with at least 36% of the population in poverty, and the four richest men own as much as the bottom 100 million. This was a natural consequence of the policies of the dictator Suharto, who came to power in a coup overthrowing the communist nationalist leader Sukarno and killing one million communists, a period covered by Bevin's The Jakarta Method. At a fundamental level, not that much has changed since Suharto, and the country seems doomed to a path of slowing economic growth and massive amounts of environmental degradation under a plundering elite who will presumably fly off to New Zealand with the rest of them once the seas swallow the country, unless a communist movement can be rebuilt from ashes and can learn the lessons of 1965-66.

Though results have yet to be officially announced, it seems that 72-year-old Prabowo Subianto is overwhelmingly likely to have handily won the election. Once banned from the United States for human rights violations - a truly phenomenal feat - he has been the Minister of Defense since 2019, was an army lieutenant under Suharto and was his son-in-law. While this is obviously a particularly bad outcome, none of the other candidates seemed likely to fundamentally alter the trajectory of Indonesia, so the game was rigged from the start.


The Country of the Week is Indonesia! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 45 points 9 months ago (3 children)
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[–] [email protected] 45 points 9 months ago (14 children)
[–] [email protected] 44 points 9 months ago

Alabama: too conservative for Donald Trump.

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[–] [email protected] 45 points 9 months ago (4 children)
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[–] [email protected] 44 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (4 children)

Made the mistake of trying to talk about international affairs/geopolitics with white South Africans on Reddit. Never again folks, I don't know what made me so something so stupid.

These people are still somehow pro Ukraine and pro Israel and unironically believe that the West is a bastion of freedom and democracy. I have no idea what bubble these people live in, but whatever it is, it's impenetrable.

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 9 months ago (1 children)

It turns out there was at least one good American sailor in Japan

spoilerA Japan-based US Navy sailor has been charged with espionage for allegedly passing classified information to a foreign government.

Bryce Pedicini is alleged to have given documents to foreign agents at least seven times in 2022 and 2023. The US Navy also accuses him of trying in May 2023 to hand over photographs showing the screen of a military computer. He faces a court martial while the investigation continues. The accused is a chief petty officer fire controlman assigned to a Japan-based guided missile destroyer, the USS Higgins. He has been in custody since May 2023, just days after the last alleged incident in Japan.

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (8 children)

The Project 2025 thing is interesting. Like Dems are using it to fearmonger, but Reps are 100% wanting to do it. Question is: can they? They kinda are already doing it at the state level. I do think it could be a liability especially if they start to get super weird about it as Dobbs has hurt Republicans.

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (2 children)

I watched the recent episode of Halo. Torrents came out for it ~13 hours ago as they do every week. I liked it but my mind was on Gaza a lot of the time. Unlike other episodes the marines don't fight in their battle suits. They are wearing street clothes. Monsters use space weapons to destroy a city but it was easy to see the parallel in death and destruction in an urban environment in Gaza.

At one point a dying character looks up at the sky through a "skylight" in the rubble created by the enemy's destruction. I wondered how many people have died in Gaza and how many more will.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 9 months ago

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov Arrives in Venezuela

He is scheduled to meet with Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, Vice President Delcy Rodriguez, and Foreign Minister Yvan Gil. On Tuesday, Russian Foreign Affairs Minister Sergei Lavrov arrived in Caracas for an official visit to the Bolivarian nation.

He is scheduled to meet with Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, Vice President Delcy Rodriguez, and Foreign Affairs Minister Yvan Gil.

"The parties will discuss key issues of bilateral cooperation and interaction in the international arena, as well as analyze the global and regional landscape," the Russian Foreign Affairs Ministry said in a statement.

"Venezuela is a strategic partner and ally of Russia. Bilateral relations, based on strong ties of friendship and solidarity, are thriving and actively developing in all crucial areas."

"Russia will continue to provide comprehensive support to the Venezuelan government and people in defending their national sovereignty and the right to choose their own development path,” it added.

On Monday, Lavrov began his Latin American tour in Cuba, where he met with President Miguel Diaz-Canel and Foreign Affairs Minister Bruno Rodriguez.

Upon concluding his visit to Venezuela, the Russian Foreign Minister will travel to Brazil to participate in a ministerial meeting of the Group of Twenty (G20).

[–] [email protected] 43 points 9 months ago (5 children)
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[–] [email protected] 43 points 9 months ago (3 children)

Resistance News put out nice little info graphics breaking down the various groups fighting for Palestine.

The RNN Guide to the Palestinian Resistance.

Many readers may struggle to keep track of all of groups, formations, and brigades that constitute the united and victorious Palestinian resistance landscape. We have attempted to break down their differences, capabilities, and active formations to help our readers get a better picture of the resistance on the ground.

We hope that this guide serves as a useful reference for those becoming aware of the reality of the daily resistance in Palestine.

Together, we are united until liberation.

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 9 months ago (8 children)

Anyone have a concise source for debunking the Uighur genocide propaganda? Friend is interested in taking a look at it but I don’t want to send them a million different articles to make inferences from

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 9 months ago

Is the Standoff at Eagle Pass still going or did they stop pretending something was going to happen?

[–] [email protected] 42 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Business Insider says

The Ukraine aid that House Republican leaders are blocking might actually be good for the US economy

That's right, dipshits are now trying to accuse Republicans of hurting the economy by hurting Ukraine and Israel because the bill doesn't have enough money to hurt the refugees at the border.

House Speaker Mike Johnson is blocking a $95 billion emergency foreign aid bill, saying he's in "no rush" to take up the legislation the Senate overwhelmingly approved last week.

Fucking lol please take all the time you need and then some extra. Preferably for the rest of the year.

The bill — opposed by many conservatives due to its exclusion of desired security measures at the US-Mexico border — would provide about $60 billion in badly needed aid for Ukraine as it defends itself against Russia's nearly two-year-long invasion.

It's not enough for Biden to finish trump's work, he's gotta look weak while going the extra mile in turning the border into a giant Saw movie replica.

The legislation would also give $14.1 billion in military funding to Israel, $9.2 billion for humanitarian efforts in Gaza, and $8 billion for Taiwan and Indo-Pacific allies to deter Chinese aggression.

It'll probably pass eventually and probably with more tax dollars included, but hopefully the time spent by Republicans trying to own the libs will be spent well by the axis of resistance.

While supporters of the legislation say it's needed urgently to help Ukraine, The Wall Street Journal also points out that the bill would benefit the US economy.

The wall street journal says the bill will benefit Wall Street.

Over the past two years, the US defense industry has seen a surge in demand for weapons and munitions, with European countries looking to boost their military operations and the Pentagon purchasing new equipment, according to the Journal.

Something they were and still fucking struggle to do because more money gets put into pockets instead of production. But who gives a shit, less weapons for ukronazis and zionazis.

Officials in President Joe Biden's administration said that 64% of the roughly $60 billion appropriated for Ukraine in the Senate-passed bill would reach the US defense industrial base, the Journal reported.

And 64% of that goes straight into the pockets of the 1%, at minimum.

Lael Brainard, the director of the White House National Economic Council, told the Journal in a recent interview that the impact on the US economy would be significant.

The super yacht industry will see a bump in sales!

“That’s one of the things that is misunderstood … how important that funding is for employment and production around the country,” she told the newspaper.

[In a Stavros Halkias voice] It's not.

The Journal reported that the $95 billion in aid, in addition to money from previous packages, can "inject funds worth about 0.5% of one year’s gross domestic product into the US industrial defense base" in upcoming years.

Jesus christ. Imagine how many lives could be saved with that kind of money.

It remains unclear when or if the House will take up the Senate bill. Former President Donald Trump also opposes it and is the likely GOP presidential nominee. Trump in recent weeks also helped tank a bipartisan bill that would have tightened the US asylum system, among other measures.

I thought the cheeto was gonna go to jail and the Republicans would put out a normal candidate not-hillary

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 9 months ago (3 children)

I'm so fucking tired of hearing about the 500!!! new sanctions on Russia. In particular the weird emphasis on the number of sanctions.

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 9 months ago (3 children)

Unrepentant war criminal, fascist enabler and former NATO secretary general Anders Fogh Rasmussen has given a deranged interview to Danish government broadcaster DR. Today Rasmussen works as a lobbyist for shady US imperialist interests. His paymasters has tasked him with running a backroom operation to expand NATO into the Ukraine and in this capacity he has voiced rage over the western strategy in the Ukraine war until now that he considers to have been too soft.

Instead he is campaigning for steep escalation of the war, consequences be damned. He wants to give the Kiev regime far more weapons than today, to remove all limitations on their use and to make Ukraine a NATO member despite the ongoing war. He is utterly deranged, it's like Goebbels screaming for total war.

Some quotes from the interview below.

About western strategy until now:

You can't win a war with such a step by step strategy. You need to surprise and overwhelm your enemy, it's that kind of shock strategy you need to follow.

About tying Ukraine closer to NATO as soon as possible:

Interviewer: Doesn't an active conflict in Ukraine stand in the way of this?

Rasmussen: We need to try and get around that argument. If you say we can't send an invitation to Ukraine as long as there's a war you are also saying to Putin that he can just continue the war. Because then he prevents the Ukrainians from ever becoming members of NATO. It is a vicious circle we must break by extending an invitation now.

Interviewer: Don't you risk escalating what could be the doorstep to a third world war?

Rasmussen: Well, I'm hearing another argument. But what can Putin do? It is Putin who has been escalating this war. He has been doing it since 2008 when NATO decided that Ukraine would become a member of the alliance.

He is not even answering the question. I wonder if he even understands it. War craze and Putin derangement syndrome makes him oblivious to the dire existential risks of what he's proposing.

I also love his Freudian slip of not saying that Ukraine decided to join NATO but rather that NATO decided that Ukraine would become a member.

About negotiations:

The hard truth is that the way to peace is through war. If we are to have a lasting and just peace, it is necessary that the Ukrainians go to negotiations with as strong a background as possible. This is a reason why we have to deliver what we can add fast as we can.

Completely delusional. I as a person has a greater chance of entering negotiations with Russia from a position of strength than Ukraine has. Ukraine has already lost the west, the question is only how bad they are going to lose, not whether or not some kind of return to status quo. More western Wunderwaffen are not going to change this.

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